AR-02 No Longer ‘Likely Republican’ in Latest Sabato’s Crystal Ball House Ratings

LITTLE ROCK — Arkansas’s Second Congressional District is out of ‘Likely Republican’ territory, according to yet another nonpartisan political analysis. The latest shift in the race between incumbent Congressman French Hill and Democratic challenger Clarke Tucker comes from Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Sabato’s latest analysis moved AR-02 from ‘Likely Republican’ to ‘Leans Republican.’ The ratings shift towards Tucker comes with just over 100 days until Election Day, and Tucker said his campaign is only increasing intensity in the coming months.

“We’ve spent this summer across the district talking with hardworking Arkansas families, and the response we’ve gotten has been overwhelming,” Communications Director Graham Senor said. “Arkansans are rightfully fed up with Washington politicians who don’t have their best interests at heart, and folks are looking for someone who will put them and their families first. That’s the reason why Clarke decided to run, and it’s also why our people-focused campaign is growing stronger every day.”

This is just the latest move demonstrating the competitiveness of the race in Arkansas’s Second Congressional District after Cook Political Report and CNN have both moved AR-02 out of ‘Likely’ Republican territory in recent months.

A publication of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Sabato’s Crystal Ball provides non-partisan, political analyses on federal races around the country. The AR-02 ratings shift came from this morning’s edition of their weekly newsletter.